Dynamic ice loss from the Greenland Ice Sheet driven by sustained glacier retreat

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A Nature Research Journal. The Greenland Ice Sheet is losing mass at accelerated rates in the 21st century, making it the largest single contributor to rising sea levels. Faster flow of outlet glaciers has substantially contributed to this loss, with the cause of speedup, and potential for future change, uncertain. Here we combine more than three decades of remotely sensed observational products of outlet glacier velocity, elevation, and front position changes over the full ice sheet.

We show that widespread retreat between and resulted in a step-increase in discharge and a switch to a new dynamic state of sustained mass loss that would persist even under a decline in surface melt. The Greenland Ice Sheet GrIS has been losing mass for several decades 1 due to both increased surface meltwater runoff and ablation of marine-terminating outlet glaciers via calving and submarine melting, termed ice discharge.

Total GrIS mass loss over the — period was due to approximately equal contributions from both terms 1 but with greater contribution from increased melt runoff after , when mass losses accelerated 2 , 3 , 4.

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